Eexcel - Human Virus Deadly Disease Is Coming

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Pandemics, or worldwide outbreaks, hit when viruses shift to strains for which we have no resistance. The 1918 Spanish virus pandemic the deadliest of previous centurys three pandemics killed an probable 40 to 50 million people wide-reaching. The pandemics inside 1957 and 1968 seemed mild inside comparison, killing an expected combined total of 3 million people. Experts say that the world is currently on the brink of a new human flu epidemic.
The signs are clear that it is coming, said Lee Jong-wook, director general of the World Health Organization (WHO). The deadly H5N1 strain of avian (bird) flu caused the culling of at least 150 million birds in 15 countries inside Asia and Europe in the previous two years. It is simply a matter of time before an avian flu virusmost likely H5N1acquires the ability to be transmitted from human to human, sparking the outbreak of human epidemic influenza, Lee said.
Once human-to-human trans-mission has been established, we would have merely a matter of weeks to lock down the spread before it spun out of control, said United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan. The last three pandemics encircled the globe in six to nine months. The next deadly disease may take less than three months. Scientists determine that between 25 and 35 percent of the population will be infected inside a flu deadly disease, based on evidence from the last three pandemics. WHO forecasts a maximum death toll of 7.4 million for the next deadly disease, based on the mild 1957 deadly disease.
This flu epidemic arising from avian influenza is likely to originate inside Asia. Almost all human infections from the deadly virus occurred within Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam. Slightly more than half died, including two deaths in China newly documented by the WHO (WHO, 10 January 2006). Nonetheless, two recent confirmed bird flu deaths were in Turkeythe first reported deaths from the virus outside China and Southeast Asia, sparking suspicions the disease can spread into mainland Europe.
The bird flu death rate is higher inside contrast with SARS, the 1918 flu pandemic and normal seasonal flu viruses:

DEATH RATE

(proportion of the sick who die)
Bird flu 50%
SARS 15%
1918 Spanish Flu Epidemic 2.6%
Normal Seasonal Flu Viruses


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Edwin Sproat Jr is ardently devoted to obtaining optimal health. For more great free information visit eexcel

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